Will AI aka LLM replace Software Developers?

Question

Will AI aka LLM replace Software Developers?

Short answer 

No. The rising of LLM will increase the demand of software developers. 

 

 

Longer Answer

A LLM can generate text based on the training data. That's brilliant if you  doing you homework or writing a message a teacher (South Park episode "Deep Learning"). If you search for information, LLM are brilliant, comparing things, aggregate information that the jobs LLM can help you a lot.

 But Coding, writing software; is not writing text. If you want to learn a programming language, a LLM is great. If you searching for boiler plate code or a strange configuration property, LLM is my tool of choice. That's not coding. That's a advancment over Google or Stack Overflow. A LLM can improve autocomplete in my IDE (Kai Lentit on Y). LLM can't write software that is correct, that is fast, that is reliable, that is save, that is robust, that you and your business can rely on. So far, LLM has never been able to handle any programming task for me that went beyond the beginner level. And believe me, I tried it hard and I found out this a general limitation of LLM. I can explain it, but it's an other story.

LLM is great of doing Bullshit jobs. It will free people for better jobs. LLM increase the efficiency of software development in general. 

LLM is a good new tool, but a fool with a tool is still a fool, with brand new legacy code. LLM is a just a tool like Excel or the Internet, LLM is just a high sophisticated tool (2026). 

 

Summary

1. LLM increase the software development efficiency
2. LLM lower the entry level for software development
3. IMHO LLM will create a Rebound Effect on software development
4. LLM will help to create more Software faster
5. Software Developper will be more important than before. 

 

SCRUM doesn't support Innovation

Most of the leading Software Development Companies using SCRUM today. Many of these companies are also associated with innovations. Now, many people assume that SCRUM is the reason of innovations, but this assumption is wrong. SCRUM is neutral it does not support or inhibits innovations. To support the generation of innovation you need other methods like 3M's 80/20 Rule or others.

1. SCRUM is an ideal environment for code monkeys.
2. SCRUM does not support innovations. There are other ideas need for being an innovating company.
3. SCUM are a capable company environments to keep innovators.

Pro Tip: After 20 years, the book "The Knowledge-Creating Company" from Nonaka and Takeuchi is still my favorite book about innovation and knowledge.